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Cliff's avatar

This is a good example of how the math of a LVT works, but I think reality is a bit more complicated/complex than the example. I see a lot of Georgist posts and I think they’re always missing a hefty dose of realism, even if I agree with them on the principles/arguments. I’d rather keep the flawed system of assessments now and simply implement a progressive property tax. It’s just easier.

Here in the DC area, the value of the land is often much higher than 1/5 - and it leads directly to more expensive (and larger) homes. At my last house, we’d purchased an empty double lot with the house and we were immediately offered, in cash, 1/5 of what we paid for the whole property. We declined as we wanted the space ourselves (and that empty lot ended up being about 25% of our total property taxes), and it was worth more. Before I moved out of there 7 years later, the value of that plot of land was easily 3x that cash offer amount based on other plots that sold nearby, and the developer doing the buying was selling the new homes for about 4x that market value.

The Virginia side of the market is actually a decent little test case for how the value of the land that more expensive homes are built on also tends to be higher than the value of the land that has more modest homes, at least in 2026. Closer in to DC, it is not uncommon for homes to be sold as tear-downs for about 800K-1.2M ish, and replaced with a 2.5M-3M home. The existing home is sold and then literally torn down, and replaced by a bigger more expensive home. Essentially, the land value as a portion of the home price is about 25-35% rather than 20%.

And a bit further out, just past the end of the Metro lines where I live for another few weeks, tear-downs have recently been sold for about 600K-800K to be replaced by homes listed at 1.8M - 2.7M, depending on the size of the lot and the location. That’s closer to 1/3. The point being that in expensive (and the most populous) metro areas, the land value as a proportion of the home value seems to be much higher than 1/5. A house around the corner from where I am currently sitting was just torn down a few weeks ago and was sold to the developer for 750K. The listing for the new construction house is for 2.37M. Given the demolition expenses, I would argue that the land value is higher than that 750K. The reasons for that value and the price of the new construction would require an even longer comment than this one, so I’ll leave it here.

All of this to say - the market is extremely distorted and twisted right now.

Dshimizu's avatar

Mahalo for your thoughtful article

I wish our state government in Hawaii would implement something like this. In addition, some kind of tax on homes that aren't owner occupied full time, like in New York City

Right now, we have the lowest effective property tax rate in the country, per TurboTax, and we fund our state government through high income and excise taxes

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